Biden's Polling Woes: Worst Among Presidential Incumbents in Modern History
- May 24, 2024 09:03am
- 204
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten has analyzed polling data, revealing that President Biden's approval ratings are among the lowest for any incumbent president in a primary since George H.W. Bush in 1992.
President Biden's re-election prospects have taken another hit, as CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten has revealed that his polling numbers are among the worst in modern political history by some metrics.
"Everyone's saying that Donald Trump's doing weak, weak, weak," Enten said on Thursday. "It's actually Joe Biden in my mind in the primaries, that's doing weak, weak, weak, at least relative to history, because right now he's getting 87% of that primary vote for an incumbent."
Enten's analysis shows that Biden has the lowest polling among all presidential incumbents in their primaries since former President George H.W. Bush in 1992, who went on to lose that election to Bill Clinton.
Biden receiving 87% of his party's primary vote today, compares to former Presidents George W. Bush who got 98% of the primary vote in 2004, Obama with 90% in 2012 and Trump at 94% in 2020.
These poll numbers are a cause for concern for Biden and his supporters, as they indicate that he may not have the strong support of his party going into the 2024 election.
Enten pointed out that Biden's numbers are even worse when compared to other recent non-incumbent presidential candidates.
"Mitt Romney was getting about 71% of the votes after his opponents dropped out, Donald Trump back in 2016, 74%, Joe Biden last time around 77%. The one who's actually getting the highest share after his opponents dropped out is actually Donald Trump this time around with 81%."
Biden's recent poll numbers have worried some liberals and even anti-Trump Republicans, who are now wondering whether he could be replaced as the nominee.
During a recent MSNBC segment, former Republican Ohio Governor John Kasich – who endorsed Biden in 2020 and 2024 – expressed his belief that Biden is likely to be replaced, citing conversations he's had with "a lot of people," and Americans' outlook on the economy.
If Biden is replaced as the nominee, it would be a major blow to his chances of winning re-election. It would also indicate that the Democratic Party is looking for a new leader to take on Donald Trump in 2024.
However, it is important to note that these poll numbers are just a snapshot in time, and they could change significantly over the next several months. The 2024 election is still a long way away, and there are many factors that could affect the outcome.
In the meantime, Biden will need to find a way to improve his approval ratings and shore up support within his own party if he wants to have a chance of winning re-election.
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