New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts

State Republican Party Chair Ed Cox draws parallels between President Biden and former President Carter, citing weakening support and voter dissatisfaction

Eric Trump, EVP of the Trump Organization, has expressed confidence in his father's chances of winning New York in 2024, predicting that the state will end its long-standing streak of favoring Democratic presidential candidates. Historically, New York has not backed a Republican presidential nominee since Ronald Reagan's victory in 1980. However, Cox believes that this trend is poised to change.

Citing President Biden's declining approval ratings and the parallels he sees between Biden and former President Jimmy Carter, Cox asserts that the state's pragmatic voters are experiencing a sense of déjà vu. He notes that Biden's recent debate performance further underscored his detachment from the American people's concerns.

New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts

Cox draws a parallel between President Trump's upcoming campaign messaging and Reagan's iconic "Are you better off than you were four years ago?" remark, which proved to be a game-changer against Carter. Trump's emphasis on his four-year record is expected to resonate with New Yorkers, particularly given the current economic climate.

While former Congressman Lee Zeldin narrowly missed defeating Governor Kathy Hochul in the recent gubernatorial election, Cox believes that 2024 will present a different scenario due to the state's pragmatic nature.

New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts

Cox also points to the state's tendency to support populist candidates, as evidenced by Mayor Eric Adams' victory in the Democratic primary and subsequent defeat of Republican Curtis Sliwa.

Tracing New York's origins back to New Amsterdam, Cox emphasizes the state's history of valuing meritocracy and judging individuals based on their actions. He believes that New Yorkers will ultimately assess Trump and Biden on their merits, giving the former president an advantage.

New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts

According to Cox, New York's last Republican statewide federal office holder was Senator Al D'Amato, who served before Senator Charles Schumer. Democrats have held all statewide federal offices in the state since 1998. Despite this, Cox remains optimistic about Trump's chances, highlighting the state's large bloc of independent voters who will play a significant role in the upcoming election.

Cox's analysis aligns with recent polls suggesting a tightening race in New York. A recent Siena College poll found Biden leading Trump by just 4 points, a significant decrease from his 16-point advantage in 2020.

New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts

The Trump campaign is reportedly already making plans for an aggressive effort in New York, with a focus on blue-collar and suburban voters. The state's 28 electoral votes could prove crucial in determining the outcome of the presidential election.

While Democrats have been quick to dismiss Cox's predictions, observers will closely watch New York's electoral landscape in the coming months to gauge the validity of his assessment.

New York Poised to End Republican Barren Run, Trump Organization EVP Predicts