Serbia's Warm Welcome to Ukraine Amidst Russian Tension

Despite Serbia's proclaimed neutrality in the Russia-Ukraine war, the visit of Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba and First Lady Zelenska signals an improving relationship, drawing criticism from Moscow.

In a surprising move, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba and First Lady Olena Zelenska made a high-profile visit to Serbia on May 13, 2024. This visit marks a significant development in the diplomatic landscape between the two states, which had previously been strained due to Serbia's close ties to Russia.

Serbia has consistently maintained a policy of neutrality regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Despite condemning Russia's aggression, it has refrained from imposing sanctions against Moscow and has maintained friendly relations with its traditional Slavic ally.

However, reports have surfaced suggesting that Serbia may have been delivering weapons to Ukraine through intermediary countries. This covert support could be seen as a balancing act, allowing Serbia to maintain its neutrality while also providing assistance to a country under attack.

Serbia's balancing diplomacy has been evident in its recent actions. Pro-Russian President Aleksandar Vucic has met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on three occasions on the sidelines of international conferences. Serbia has also provided Ukraine with humanitarian and financial aid.

In addition, Serbia has been strengthening its ties with China. During a visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Belgrade last week, the two countries signed an agreement to build "ironclad" relations and a "shared joint future." This move could be seen as a shift in Serbia's foreign policy orientation, moving closer to Russia and China.

The visit by Kuleba and Zelenska to Serbia drew mixed reactions. Western officials expressed support for Ukraine's outreach efforts, while Russia reacted with criticism. Russian state-run media published comments from readers condemning the visit as "shameful."

In apparent damage control, Serbian President Vucevic met with the Russian ambassador to Belgrade shortly after his talks with Kuleba. The two visited a storage facility for Russian gas that is being imported to Serbia.

The evolving relationship between Serbia and Ukraine has significant implications for the region. It could potentially weaken Russia's influence in the Balkans and strengthen Ukraine's position in the conflict. It also highlights the complex diplomatic challenges facing Serbia as it navigates its relationships with Russia, Ukraine, the European Union, and China.

As the Russia-Ukraine war continues, it remains to be seen how Serbia will balance its interests and maintain its neutrality. The visit of Kuleba and Zelenska may be a sign of warming relations between Ukraine and Serbia, but it also underscores the intricate diplomatic dance that Serbia must perform in a complex geopolitical landscape.