Trump Would Win a 'Smashing Victory' in 2024 Election, New Poll Reveals

A recent poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer shows that former President Donald Trump would defeat President Joe Biden in five of six key battleground states if the election were held today.

Former senior Hillary Clinton adviser and longtime confidant Philippe Reines expressed astonishment Monday at the results of a new poll showing Joe Biden trailing former President Trump in several key swing states.

"I have to be honest with you, I don't know what's going on here," Reines said on "The Story" when asked about the poll showing Trump ahead in five of the six key battleground states where he was narrowly edged by President Biden four years ago.

The poll, conducted by the New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer, surveyed registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump leads Biden by significant margins in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Nevada, and edges him out by a narrow margin in Pennsylvania. Biden narrowly leads in Wisconsin.

Reines acknowledged that according to the poll's findings, Trump would beat Biden in the general election if it were held tomorrow. He added that the results are no surprise for the Biden campaign, who are aware that they "have problems."

"I’m not going to pretend these numbers are good, but…I agree… if the election were tomorrow, Joe Biden would probably not win," Reines said. "Thankfully though, there are 176 days between now and November 5th. Also, thankfully, the president and his team are not sitting there in a  bubble thinking things are great. They know they have problems, and they know where they have problems. I think they know their best hope is to bring these folks home."

The surveys, released Monday, suggest that discontent over the economy and the Israeli-Hamas war in Gaza, and a deterioration in support for Biden by younger, Black and Hispanic voters, "threaten to unravel the president's Democratic coalition."

With just under six months to go until Election Day, Trump leads Biden among registered voters 49%-42% in Arizona, 49%-39% in Georgia, 49%-42% in Michigan, 50%-38% in Nevada, and edges the president 47%-44% in Pennsylvania, with Biden narrowly on top in Wisconsin 47%-45%, the surveys found.

The polls come as Trump makes history as the first current or former president to stand trial in a criminal case and amid a massive ad blitz by the Biden campaign across the key battleground states.

Wall Street Journal editor-at-large Gerry Baker joked during the segment that "Trump should spend every day between now and Election Day in a courtroom because it seems to be doing him a world of good."

Fox News contributor Karl Rove agreed that Trump would win a "smashing victory" if the election were held today, but pointed out that Trump's edge appears to "more about Joe Biden [having] dropped from where he was in 2020 rather than Donald Trump rising above where he was in 2020."

"If it was anyone other than Donald Trump in this situation, they would probably beat Joe Biden hands-down," Reines replied. "The truth of the matter here, is the reason it is so tight and the reason neither of them are going anywhere even when Joe Biden goes down, Donald Trump doesn’t go up, is because Trump has really permanent problems there."

The poll found Biden leading Trump by one point in Michigan.